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DHT: 11CSV

01 Sept 2024 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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17.0%
Athens Kallithea
27.5%
Draw
55.5%
Panathinaikos

Expected Goals (xG)

0.76

Athens Kallithea

vs
1.57

Panathinaikos

Markets

BTTS43.3%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.520.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.2%
1-1
12.7%
0-2
12.0%
0-0
10.8%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
6.3%
0-3
6.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-1
4.4%
2-2
3.5%
2-0
2.8%
0-4
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).