Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.6%
Auxerre
26.4%
Draw
51.9%
Paris SG
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Auxerre
vs
1.37
Paris SG
Markets
BTTS39.3%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.562.4%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.516.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.8%
1-1
11.7%
0-2
11.1%
0-0
11.0%
1-0
9.7%
1-2
8.5%
0-3
5.1%
2-1
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-0
3.5%
2-2
3.3%
0-4
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).