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08 Apr 2022 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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67.2%
Sevilla
18.7%
Draw
14.1%
Granada

Expected Goals (xG)

2.34

Sevilla

vs
0.99

Granada

Markets

BTTS57.0%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.564.6%
Over 3.542.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
8.6%
1-0
8.1%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
7.6%
2-2
4.8%
4-0
4.5%
4-1
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
0-0
3.9%
3-2
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).