Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.1%
Forest Green
24.5%
Draw
54.3%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Forest Green
vs
1.47
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS41.0%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.4%
0-2
11.3%
1-1
11.1%
0-0
9.5%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
8.9%
0-3
5.5%
2-1
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-2
3.5%
2-0
3.3%
0-4
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).