Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.0%
Dunkerque
26.3%
Draw
28.7%
Troyes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Dunkerque
vs
0.95
Troyes
Markets
BTTS43.2%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.538.5%
Over 3.518.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.8%
1-1
12.0%
0-1
11.3%
0-0
9.7%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.0%
3-0
3.7%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).