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AHT: 10CSV

26 Oct 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.0%
Dundee
25.2%
Draw
19.8%
St Johnstone

Expected Goals (xG)

1.73

Dundee

vs
0.95

St Johnstone

Markets

BTTS51.1%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.528.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.0%
1-0
11.2%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.6%
3-0
5.9%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.1%
3-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).