Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.2%
Colchester
22.8%
Draw
16.0%
Shrewsbury
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Colchester
vs
0.72
Shrewsbury
Markets
BTTS41.3%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.7%
2-0
12.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
8.6%
3-0
7.2%
0-1
6.9%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
3.3%
4-0
3.1%
0-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).