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15 Apr 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.7%
Grimsby
31.0%
Draw
41.2%
Stockport

Expected Goals (xG)

0.96

Grimsby

vs
1.23

Stockport

Markets

BTTS45.0%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.518.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.3%
0-1
12.6%
0-0
12.2%
1-0
9.6%
0-2
8.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
3.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).