Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.7%
Ponferradina
28.0%
Draw
26.3%
Zaragoza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Ponferradina
vs
0.91
Zaragoza
Markets
BTTS43.4%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.518.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.3%
1-1
12.8%
0-0
10.8%
0-1
10.1%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.0%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).