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AHT: 01CSV

11 Nov 2022 · 19:45

Ayr

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.2%
Hamilton
27.2%
Draw
50.6%
Ayr

Expected Goals (xG)

1.10

Hamilton

vs
1.74

Ayr

Markets

BTTS56.8%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.554.0%
Over 3.531.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.8%
0-1
8.4%
0-0
7.6%
2-1
6.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
0-3
5.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).