Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.9%
Chesterfield
25.5%
Draw
24.6%
Oldham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Chesterfield
vs
1.17
Oldham
Markets
BTTS57.8%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.555.7%
Over 3.533.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-0
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.4%
3-0
4.8%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).