Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.7%
Numancia
31.0%
Draw
44.2%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Numancia
vs
1.12
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS35.7%
Over 0.584.8%
Over 1.555.9%
Over 2.529.0%
Over 3.512.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.3%
0-0
15.2%
1-1
12.8%
1-0
11.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
4.9%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
3.6%
2-2
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).