Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.5%
Celta
25.2%
Draw
32.3%
Villarreal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Celta
vs
1.33
Villarreal
Markets
BTTS58.2%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.532.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.5%
1-2
7.7%
0-1
7.2%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.9%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).