Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.2%
Burgos
31.7%
Draw
24.2%
Albacete
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Burgos
vs
0.72
Albacete
Markets
BTTS34.0%
Over 0.583.8%
Over 1.554.0%
Over 2.527.3%
Over 3.511.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.9%
0-0
16.2%
1-1
12.7%
0-1
11.9%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
7.0%
1-2
4.6%
0-2
4.2%
3-0
3.5%
3-1
2.5%
2-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).