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DHT: 11CSV

21 Feb 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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65.8%
York
18.3%
Draw
15.9%
Boreham Wood

Expected Goals (xG)

2.60

York

vs
1.25

Boreham Wood

Markets

BTTS66.6%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.590.3%
Over 2.573.9%
Over 3.553.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.0%
3-1
7.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-0
6.2%
2-2
5.6%
4-1
5.1%
1-0
5.0%
3-2
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
4-0
4.0%
4-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).