Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.1%
Ascoli
36.2%
Draw
19.7%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Ascoli
vs
0.59
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS29.8%
Over 0.578.9%
Over 1.549.2%
Over 2.522.1%
Over 3.58.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
21.1%
1-0
19.2%
1-1
13.2%
0-1
10.6%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
6.2%
1-2
3.6%
3-0
3.6%
0-2
3.5%
3-1
2.1%
2-2
1.8%
4-0
0.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).