Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.5%
Mallorca
24.5%
Draw
39.0%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Mallorca
vs
1.48
Almeria
Markets
BTTS58.5%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.533.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
8.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-2
6.1%
0-2
6.0%
2-0
5.6%
0-0
5.4%
1-3
4.2%
3-1
3.9%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).