Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.9%
Metz
20.6%
Draw
51.5%
Nice
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Metz
vs
1.99
Nice
Markets
BTTS64.9%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.566.2%
Over 3.544.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.3%
1-1
8.8%
0-1
7.1%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
6.6%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-3
4.4%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).