Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.5%
Eastleigh
21.7%
Draw
20.8%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
2.18
Eastleigh
vs
1.27
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS64.5%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.586.6%
Over 2.567.0%
Over 3.545.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.0%
1-0
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.5%
3-2
4.4%
0-0
3.9%
4-1
3.8%
0-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).