Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.5%
Sp Gijon
29.7%
Draw
30.8%
Burgos
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Sp Gijon
vs
0.96
Burgos
Markets
BTTS41.4%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.561.4%
Over 2.534.5%
Over 3.515.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
12.3%
0-1
12.1%
2-0
7.9%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-0
3.0%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).