Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.9%
Rio Ave
26.4%
Draw
36.7%
Arouca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Rio Ave
vs
1.46
Arouca
Markets
BTTS60.1%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.533.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
6.9%
0-1
6.9%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
6.2%
2-0
5.7%
0-2
5.7%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
4.1%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).