Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.7%
Ath Madrid
29.9%
Draw
14.4%
Getafe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Ath Madrid
vs
0.52
Getafe
Markets
BTTS29.8%
Over 0.583.4%
Over 1.554.7%
Over 2.527.5%
Over 3.511.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.7%
0-0
16.6%
2-0
13.7%
1-1
11.3%
0-1
8.0%
2-1
7.1%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
0-2
2.2%
4-0
1.9%
2-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).