Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.2%
Pau FC
22.0%
Draw
28.8%
Ilford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Pau FC
vs
1.37
Ilford
Markets
BTTS62.5%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.540.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
7.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-0
6.9%
2-2
6.4%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.8%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
3.9%
0-2
3.7%
0-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).