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AHT: 11CSV

23 Apr 2024 · 19:45

Angers

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.4%
Guingamp
23.1%
Draw
37.5%
Angers

Expected Goals (xG)

1.45

Guingamp

vs
1.41

Angers

Markets

BTTS56.9%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.532.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.8%
1-0
9.3%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
6.0%
0-2
5.7%
0-0
4.8%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
3.9%
3-0
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).