Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.2%
Wrexham
23.8%
Draw
15.0%
Mansfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Wrexham
vs
0.58
Mansfield
Markets
BTTS33.7%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.561.3%
Over 2.535.2%
Over 3.516.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.4%
2-0
14.1%
0-0
11.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
8.0%
3-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
1-2
3.2%
4-0
2.7%
2-2
2.4%
0-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).