Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.5%
Orleans
29.3%
Draw
33.2%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Orleans
vs
0.92
Lens
Markets
BTTS37.1%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.556.3%
Over 2.530.4%
Over 3.513.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.7%
0-1
14.5%
0-0
13.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-0
7.3%
2-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-0
2.5%
3-1
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).