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HHT: 00

11 Dec 2024 · 19:45

Oxford

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.0%
Queens Park Rangers
29.6%
Draw
28.4%
Oxford

Expected Goals (xG)

1.33

Queens Park Rangers

vs
1.05

Oxford

Markets

BTTS48.9%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.542.5%
Over 3.521.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.0%
1-0
11.2%
0-0
10.3%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
2-0
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).