Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.6%
Coventry
17.5%
Draw
12.9%
Leicester
Expected Goals (xG)
2.62
Coventry
vs
1.09
Leicester
Markets
BTTS62.1%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.589.1%
Over 2.571.6%
Over 3.550.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.0%
1-1
7.6%
3-0
7.4%
1-0
5.8%
4-1
5.2%
2-2
5.0%
4-0
4.8%
3-2
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
0-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).