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25 Mar 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.0%
Torquay
27.2%
Draw
27.8%
Dag and Red

Expected Goals (xG)

1.54

Torquay

vs
1.17

Dag and Red

Markets

BTTS55.2%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.0%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
2-0
7.9%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
7.0%
0-1
6.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).