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DHT: 11CSV

29 Feb 2020 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.2%
Blackburn
32.5%
Draw
35.3%
Swansea

Expected Goals (xG)

0.99

Blackburn

vs
1.05

Swansea

Markets

BTTS41.6%
Over 0.585.9%
Over 1.561.2%
Over 2.533.2%
Over 3.514.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.5%
0-0
14.1%
0-1
12.7%
1-0
11.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
3.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).