Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.8%
Ponferradina
23.4%
Draw
46.7%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Ponferradina
vs
1.71
Almeria
Markets
BTTS60.1%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.536.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
8.3%
2-1
7.2%
0-2
7.0%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
6.2%
1-3
5.3%
0-0
4.7%
2-0
4.2%
0-3
4.0%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).