Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.3%
Elversberg
14.9%
Draw
5.8%
Regensburg
Expected Goals (xG)
2.56
Elversberg
vs
0.59
Regensburg
Markets
BTTS41.8%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.561.0%
Over 3.538.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.0%
3-0
12.0%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.3%
4-0
7.7%
1-1
7.1%
3-1
7.1%
0-0
4.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-0
3.9%
2-2
2.4%
5-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).