Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.1%
Stockport
21.8%
Draw
18.0%
Burton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Stockport
vs
0.79
Burton
Markets
BTTS43.8%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.0%
2-0
12.0%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
0-1
7.4%
0-0
7.3%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.7%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).