Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.7%
Porto
13.1%
Draw
7.2%
Estoril
Expected Goals (xG)
2.61
Porto
vs
0.65
Estoril
Markets
BTTS43.9%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.583.4%
Over 2.563.3%
Over 3.541.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.1%
3-0
11.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.5%
4-0
7.5%
3-1
7.4%
1-1
6.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-0
3.9%
0-0
3.5%
0-1
2.8%
2-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).