⚽ FootballData
1 – 2
AHT: 12

12 Jul 2025 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
55.9%
IFK Göteborg
25.7%
Draw
18.4%
Elfsborg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.77

IFK Göteborg

vs
0.93

Elfsborg

Markets

BTTS51.4%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.528.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.9%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
0-1
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).