Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.0%
Plymouth
24.1%
Draw
54.9%
Sheffield United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Plymouth
vs
1.89
Sheffield United
Markets
BTTS57.6%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.535.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.0%
0-1
8.6%
1-3
6.2%
0-0
5.9%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-3
3.4%
2-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).