Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.3%
Shrewsbury
21.3%
Draw
62.4%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Shrewsbury
vs
1.75
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS42.3%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.524.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.4%
0-2
12.7%
1-1
9.8%
1-2
9.4%
0-3
7.4%
0-0
7.4%
1-0
7.0%
1-3
5.5%
2-1
4.0%
2-2
3.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).