Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.9%
Salernitana
34.0%
Draw
23.1%
Reggiana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Salernitana
vs
0.74
Reggiana
Markets
BTTS36.5%
Over 0.583.1%
Over 1.556.6%
Over 2.528.4%
Over 3.511.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.9%
1-0
16.1%
1-1
14.2%
0-1
10.3%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
4.8%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
3.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).