Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.6%
Barcelona
13.6%
Draw
7.8%
Osasuna
Expected Goals (xG)
2.84
Barcelona
vs
0.82
Osasuna
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.588.2%
Over 2.570.8%
Over 3.549.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.4%
3-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-1
8.1%
1-0
7.1%
4-0
6.9%
1-1
6.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-0
3.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-2
3.3%
5-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).