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17 May 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.6%
Samsunspor
38.6%
Draw
34.8%
Göztepe

Expected Goals (xG)

0.86

Samsunspor

vs
1.02

Göztepe

Markets

BTTS40.3%
Over 0.581.4%
Over 1.559.5%
Over 2.529.1%
Over 3.512.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
18.6%
1-1
16.8%
0-1
12.1%
1-0
9.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-1
5.8%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
2.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
3-1
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).