Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.9%
Orenburg
31.6%
Draw
9.5%
Fakel
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Orenburg
vs
0.37
Fakel
Markets
BTTS23.3%
Over 0.579.7%
Over 1.550.1%
Over 2.522.9%
Over 3.58.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
23.6%
0-0
20.3%
2-0
15.8%
1-1
10.1%
3-0
6.7%
0-1
6.0%
2-1
5.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-0
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
0-2
1.3%
2-2
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).