Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.0%
Southampton
23.8%
Draw
17.2%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Southampton
vs
0.93
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS52.4%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.531.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
2-0
10.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
6.8%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
0-1
4.7%
2-2
4.6%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).