Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.4%
Sevilla
28.1%
Draw
25.5%
Alaves
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Sevilla
vs
0.94
Alaves
Markets
BTTS45.5%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.520.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
1-1
13.1%
0-0
10.3%
2-0
9.3%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).