Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.5%
Belenenses
34.8%
Draw
36.6%
Santa Clara
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
Belenenses
vs
0.84
Santa Clara
Markets
BTTS28.2%
Over 0.579.2%
Over 1.545.2%
Over 2.520.3%
Over 3.57.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
20.8%
0-1
18.5%
1-0
15.5%
1-1
12.1%
0-2
7.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-0
5.3%
2-1
4.4%
0-3
2.1%
2-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
3-0
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).