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DHT: 01CSV

12 Sept 2015

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.0%
Halifax
31.1%
Draw
20.9%
Kidderminster

Expected Goals (xG)

1.29

Halifax

vs
0.76

Kidderminster

Markets

BTTS39.5%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.561.7%
Over 2.533.6%
Over 3.515.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.6%
0-0
14.0%
1-1
13.7%
2-0
10.7%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
4.8%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
3.7%
3-1
3.5%
2-2
3.1%
4-0
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).