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DHT: 01CSV

27 Feb 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.0%
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30.9%
Draw
39.0%
Forest Green

Expected Goals (xG)

1.03

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vs
1.21

Forest Green

Markets

BTTS46.2%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.566.6%
Over 2.538.8%
Over 3.518.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.4%
0-1
11.8%
0-0
11.8%
1-0
9.9%
1-2
8.0%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).