Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.9%
Luton
23.3%
Draw
43.8%
Tottenham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77
Luton
vs
2.04
Tottenham
Markets
BTTS73.3%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.590.5%
Over 2.573.3%
Over 3.552.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
2-1
7.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-3
4.9%
0-2
4.6%
3-2
4.2%
3-1
4.2%
2-0
3.5%
0-1
3.4%
0-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).