Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.9%
Nantes
27.5%
Draw
41.6%
Brest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Nantes
vs
1.26
Brest
Markets
BTTS45.9%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.520.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.0%
1-1
12.8%
1-0
10.8%
0-0
9.7%
1-2
8.3%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
0-3
3.3%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).