Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.6%
Notts County
19.0%
Draw
12.4%
Bristol Rvs
Expected Goals (xG)
2.03
Notts County
vs
0.71
Bristol Rvs
Markets
BTTS43.9%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.529.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
2-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
9.0%
1-1
8.9%
3-1
6.4%
0-0
6.1%
0-1
5.0%
4-0
4.6%
2-2
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).