Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.8%
Barnet
28.8%
Draw
36.4%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Barnet
vs
1.07
Notts County
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.561.9%
Over 2.535.4%
Over 3.516.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.5%
1-0
13.1%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
11.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
7.0%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
0-3
2.5%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).